Joel Álvarez vs. Elves Brener: UFC on ABC 7 Main Card Preview & Prediction5 months ago
Joel Álvarez vs. Elves Brener: Who will win? Detailed analysis of their strengths, weaknesses, and keys to victory.

Joel Álvarez

Record: 21-3

Recent Fights:

- Win against Marc Diakiese (Submission, 2023)
- Loss to Arman Tsarukyan (TKO, 2022)
- Win against Thiago Moises (TKO, 2021)
- Win against Alexander Yakovlev (Submission, 2020)
- Win against Joseph Duffy (Submission, 2020)

Álvarez is known for his exceptional grappling skills and submissions. He has a strong record with several submission victories and notable wins against high-level opponents. His striking has improved, but his primary strength lies in his grappling and submission game.

Elves Brener

Record: 16-6

Recent Fights:

- Loss to Myktybek Orolbai (Decision, 2024)
- Win against Kaynan Kruschewsky (KO, 2023)
- Win against Guram Kutateladze (TKO, 2023)
- Win against Zubaira Tukhugov (Decision, 2023)
- Win against Victor Nunez (Submission, 2022)

Brener is a versatile fighter with a solid record in both striking and grappling. He has a mix of knockout and submission wins and has demonstrated resilience and adaptability in his fights. His recent performances show that he is capable of going the distance and handling different styles.

Fighting Styles and Strategy

Álvarez: Will likely aim to take the fight to the ground where he can utilize his submission skills. His strategy will involve closing the distance and looking for opportunities to secure a submission.

Brener: Needs to use his striking to keep Álvarez at bay and avoid getting caught in a grappling exchange. His ability to defend against takedowns and capitalize on his striking opportunities will be crucial.

Keys to Victory

Álvarez: Focus on getting the fight to the ground early and using his superior grappling skills to secure a submission. Avoiding prolonged exchanges on the feet where Brener could capitalize is key.

Brener: Utilize his striking to control the pace of the fight and keep Álvarez at a distance. Defending against takedowns and maintaining good cardio will be important to avoid being overwhelmed.

Prediction:

Given Álvarez's strong submission skills and Brener's recent loss in a grappling-heavy fight, I lean towards Joel Álvarez winning. If Álvarez can implement his game plan effectively and take the fight to the ground, he has a good chance of securing a submission victory. I predict Joel Álvarez to win by submission, likely in the first or second round.