This strawweight clash at UFC on ESPN 63 features two fighters with contrasting styles. Josefine "Little Thunder" Knutsson, undefeated at 8-0, is a technical striker who thrives on precision and pace. Her opponent, Piera "La Fiera" Rodriguez, brings power and aggression, making this an intriguing matchup.

Josefine Lindgren Knutsson (8-0)

Knutsson excels in technical striking, using her Muay Thai background to control the pace of fights. She’s yet to show submission skills but compensates with strong takedown defense and relentless output. With 88% of her wins coming via decision, she thrives in longer fights. However, her lack of finishing ability could be a disadvantage against an opponent like Rodriguez, who is capable of turning fights around with a single strike.

Last Five Fights:

1. Win vs. Julia Polastri – Decision (Unanimous) at UFC on ESPN 58 (June 15, 2024)
2. Win vs. Marnic Mann – Decision (Unanimous) at UFC Fight Night 227 (Sept 16, 2023)
3. Win vs. Isis Verbeek – Decision (Unanimous) at Dana White's Contender Series 2023: Week 3 (Aug 22, 2023)
4. Win vs. Jacinta Austin – Decision (Split) at UAE Warriors 36 (Feb 25, 2023)
5. Win vs. Ye Dam Seo – Decision (Unanimous) at UFC Road to UFC: Singapore Quarterfinals (June 10, 2022)

Piera Rodriguez (9-2)

Rodriguez is a finisher, boasting 56% of her victories by TKO. Her aggression and pressure often overwhelm opponents, particularly those unprepared for her striking power. However, Rodriguez’s recent performances have been inconsistent, including a DQ loss in her last fight and a submission defeat prior to that. If she cannot find an early finish, her endurance and ability to adapt against Knutsson’s methodical approach may falter.

Last Five Fights:

1. Loss vs. Ariane Carnelossi – Disqualification (Headbutts) at UFC Fight Night 241 (May 18, 2024)
2. Loss vs. Gillian Robertson – Submission (Armbar) at UFC on ESPN 44 (Apr 15, 2023)
3. Win vs. Sam Hughes – Decision (Unanimous) at UFC Fight Night 212 (Oct 15, 2022)
4. Win vs. Kay Hansen – Decision (Unanimous) at UFC 273 (Apr 9, 2022)
5. Win vs. Valesca Machado – Decision (Unanimous) at Dana White's Contender Series 2021: Week 8 (Oct 19, 2021)

Prediction

Knutsson’s technical edge and superior cardio will likely allow her to dictate the pace. Rodriguez will need to close the distance early and capitalize on her power to disrupt Knutsson’s rhythm. If the fight goes to the later rounds, Knutsson’s precision and volume striking should secure a decision victory.

Pick: Josefine Lindgren Knutsson by unanimous decision.