Stephen Thompson vs. Joaquin Buckley: UFC 307 Prelims Featured Bout Fight Preview & Prediction3 months ago
The UFC 307 matchup between Stephen Thompson and Joaquin Buckley promises to be an electrifying clash in the welterweight division. Set for October 5, 2024, at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, this fight features contrasting styles and significant stakes for both competitors.

Stephen Thompson ("Wonderboy")

- Age: 41
- Height: 6'0" / 182.88 cm
- Weight: 170 lbs / 77.11 kg
- Record: 17-7-1
- Association: Team Upstate Karate / Pitch Black MMA

Stephen Thompson is a striking specialist known for his unique karate-based style, featuring explosive kicks and exceptional footwork. With 8 of his 17 wins coming by way of knockout, he is a constant threat on the feet. Although he has struggled in recent bouts, including a submission loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov, Thompson’s experience and ability to control distance make him a formidable opponent. At 41, he will need to rely on his quickness and technical proficiency to outmaneuver his younger adversary.

Stephen Thompson - Last 5 Fights

- Loss vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov (Submission) – UFC 296 (Dec 16, 2023)
- Win vs. Kevin Holland (TKO – Corner Stoppage) – UFC on ESPN 42 (Dec 3, 2022)
- Loss vs. Belal Muhammad (Decision) – UFC Fight Night 199 (Dec 18, 2021)
- Loss vs. Gilbert Burns (Decision) – UFC 264 (Jul 10, 2021)
- Win vs. Geoff Neal (Decision) – UFC Fight Night 183 (Dec 19, 2020)

Joaquin Buckley ("New Mansa")

- Age: 30
- Height: 5'8" / 172.72 cm
- Weight: 170 lbs / 77.11 kg
- Record: 19-6-0
- Association: Murcielago MMA

Joaquin Buckley is a rising star in the welterweight division, renowned for his explosive striking and knockout power, with 13 of his 19 wins coming via TKO. Buckley has shown resilience and adaptability in his recent performances, securing notable victories against Vicente Luque and Andre Fialho. However, he has also faced setbacks, including a knockout loss to Chris Curtis. Buckley's aggressive style and power make him a dangerous opponent, particularly if he can close the distance and land heavy shots.

Joaquin Buckley - Last 5 Fights

- Win vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Decision) – UFC on ESPN 56 (May 11, 2024)
- Win vs. Vicente Luque (TKO) – UFC on ESPN 54 (Mar 30, 2024)
- Win vs. Alex Morono (Decision) – UFC Fight Night 229 (Oct 7, 2023)
- Win vs. Andre Fialho (TKO) – UFC Fight Night 223 (May 20, 2023)
- Loss vs. Chris Curtis (KO) – UFC 282 (Dec 10, 2022)

Fight Breakdown

This matchup will hinge on Thompson’s ability to utilize his range and technical striking against Buckley’s raw power and aggressive approach. Thompson excels in movement and distance management, while Buckley thrives when engaging in exchanges. If Thompson can establish his rhythm early, he may be able to frustrate Buckley and avoid heavy strikes. Conversely, Buckley will look to close the distance and unleash his knockout power, potentially leading to an early finish.

Prediction

While Thompson's experience and striking acumen are significant assets, Buckley's youth and ferocity could prove decisive. If Buckley can withstand Thompson's technical striking and land his powerful shots, he has a solid chance of securing a knockout victory. However, if Thompson employs his tactical skills effectively, he could outpoint Buckley over the distance.

Prediction: Joaquin Buckley by TKO in Round 3.