Renato Moicano: Grappling Veteran with Experience
Renato Moicano (19-5-1) is a seasoned veteran who has fought some of the toughest names in the UFC. His well-rounded skill set is highlighted by his exceptional Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ), earning 10 submission victories in his career. Moicano's striking has improved over the years, but his grappling remains his bread and butter. He is coming off a two-fight win streak, with a decision win over Drew Dober and a technical knockout victory over Jalin Turner at UFC 300.
Moicano has faced adversity in his career, with losses to the likes of José Aldo and Chan Sung Jung, but his ability to bounce back has defined his journey. In his recent fights, he’s shown improved cardio and fight IQ, making him a tough matchup for any opponent in the lightweight division.
Benoît Saint Denis: Rising Star with Relentless Pressure
Benoît Saint Denis (13-2-1) has rapidly made a name for himself as a fierce competitor with relentless pressure and an aggressive fighting style. Known for his grappling and submission skills, Saint Denis has 9 submission wins on his record. His recent performances include a TKO win over Thiago Moisés and a knockout of Matt Frevola at UFC 295.
Despite a loss to Dustin Poirier earlier in 2024, Saint Denis’ ability to push the pace and overwhelm opponents has been a hallmark of his rise in the lightweight division. His striking has also improved, as showcased in his knockout win over Frevola. However, he still prefers to close the distance and utilize his grappling skills to control his opponents.
Fight Breakdown
Both fighters possess strong grappling skills, but the edge in experience goes to Moicano, who has been tested against higher-level competition. Moicano’s ability to stay calm under pressure and capitalize on submission opportunities will be crucial against the aggressive Benoît Saint Denis. The Frenchman will look to push the pace, likely trying to wear Moicano down with his forward movement and pressure grappling.
On the feet, Moicano’s technical striking could be a key factor, as Saint Denis has shown vulnerabilities in his striking defense. If Moicano can maintain distance and avoid being drawn into prolonged grappling exchanges, he may find success with his striking combinations and kicks.
Fight Breakdown & Prediction
This fight is likely to be competitive, with both fighters having the ability to finish the bout on the ground. However, Moicano’s experience against elite competition and his well-rounded game may give him the slight edge. Expect Moicano to withstand Saint Denis’ early pressure, find openings with his superior striking, and possibly secure a submission in the later rounds.
Prediction: Renato Moicano via submission in Round 3.
