The Champion: Belal Muhammad
Belal Muhammad, the current UFC Welterweight Champion, has proven himself as one of the most well-rounded and durable fighters in the division. With a professional record of 24-3-1, Muhammad’s strength lies in his relentless pressure, grappling, and cardio. He’s earned victories over top contenders such as Leon Edwards, Gilbert Burns, and Vicente Luque, with his win over Edwards at UFC 304 in July 2024 earning him the Welterweight Championship.
Muhammad is known for grinding out victories, with most of his wins coming by unanimous decision. His ability to stay composed under pressure, his conditioning, and his tactical approach to fighting have allowed him to climb to the top of the division. Despite setbacks earlier in his career, including losses to Geoff Neal and Vicente Luque, Muhammad has emerged as one of the most difficult fighters to beat in the welterweight division.
Muhammad remains the champion, and he is expected to hold onto his title in 2025, though there are several contenders who will push him for supremacy.
The Favorite: Shavkat Rakhmonov (#2)
Shavkat Rakhmonov is one of the most exciting and promising fighters in the UFC Welterweight division. With a perfect 19-0 record as of December 2024, Rakhmonov has quickly become one of the top contenders in the division. His record includes 8 wins by knockout, 10 by submission, and 1 by decision, showcasing his versatile and aggressive fighting style. Known for his dominant performances in M-1 Global before joining the UFC, Rakhmonov continued his rise with impressive wins over top opponents such as Geoff Neal, Stephen Thompson, and Ian Machado Garry.
Rakhmonov’s fighting style is a dangerous blend of elite grappling, striking power, and unrelenting aggression. His ability to finish fights in multiple ways makes him a well-rounded threat, and his undefeated record speaks to his potential. Rakhmonov’s latest victory in December 2024, a unanimous decision win over Garry, solidified his status as one of the best in the division and likely earned him a future title shot.
Rakhmonov is the favorite to end 2025 as the UFC Welterweight Champion. His skill set and consistency in the octagon position him as the biggest threat to Muhammad’s reign. Given his dominance and ability to adapt to any opponent, Rakhmonov is poised to challenge for the title in 2025 and may well emerge as the new champion.
The Underdog: Joaquin Buckley (#6)
Joaquin Buckley is known for his knockout power and aggressive striking style, making him one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC Welterweight division. With a record of 21 wins and 6 losses, including 15 knockouts, Buckley has made a name for himself with his explosive power and relentless approach. As of December 2024, Buckley is ranked #6 in the welterweight division and has earned notable victories over fighters like Colby Covington and Stephen Thompson.
Buckley’s knockout of Thompson in October 2024 earned him a Performance of the Night bonus, showcasing his ability to end fights in spectacular fashion. Despite his impressive victories, Buckley has also faced setbacks, including losses to Chris Curtis and Kevin Holland. However, his aggressive fighting style and determination to improve make him a dangerous contender in the division.
Buckley is considered an underdog to end 2025 as the UFC Welterweight Champion. While he has the power and skill to potentially dethrone Muhammad, his path to the title will require continued improvements in his game and consistency at the highest level. However, with his knockout ability and relentless style, Buckley remains a threat to anyone in the division and could surprise fans with a title run in 2025.
