The upcoming bantamweight clash between Mario Bautista and Patchy Mix is set for UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 on June 7, 2025, at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, United States. This matchup features two elite bantamweights, with Bautista aiming to solidify his place in the UFC’s top 10 and Mix looking to make a statement in his UFC debut after a dominant run in Bellator.
Mario Bautista
Mario Bautista, an American fighter, is a rising star in the UFC bantamweight division, currently ranked #10 as of November 5, 2024. With a professional record of 15 wins and 2 losses, Bautista is known for his versatile skill set, blending crisp striking with high-level grappling. He has 3 knockouts, 6 submissions, and 6 decision victories, showcasing his ability to finish fights or go the distance. Bautista is riding a six-fight win streak, with his most recent victory being a split decision over MMA legend José Aldo at UFC 307 in October 2024. His grappling-heavy style, combined with improved striking, makes him a dangerous opponent for anyone in the division.
Mario Bautista – Last 5 Fights:
1. Win vs. José Aldo – Split Decision (UFC 307, October 5, 2024)
2. Win vs. Ricky Simón – Unanimous Decision (UFC Fight Night, January 13, 2024)
3. Win vs. Da'Mon Blackshear – Unanimous Decision (UFC 292, August 19, 2023)
4. Win vs. Guido Cannetti – Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) (UFC Fight Night, March 11, 2023)
5. Win vs. Benito Lopez – Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar) (UFC Fight Night, November 5, 2022)
Patchy Mix
Patchy Mix, also an American, is a former Bellator Bantamweight World Champion and the 2023 Bellator Bantamweight World Grand Prix winner. With an impressive record of 20 wins and 1 loss, Mix is a submission specialist, boasting 13 submission victories, 2 knockouts, and 5 decisions. His lone loss came via decision against Juan Archuleta in 2020, and since then, he has been nearly unstoppable, with notable wins over Sergio Pettis, Raufeon Stots, and Magomed Magomedov. Mix’s most recent fight was a split decision victory over Magomedov at Bellator Champions Series 2 in May 2024, where he defended his Bellator Bantamweight title. Known for his slick grappling and relentless pace, Mix is a formidable addition to the UFC bantamweight roster.
Patchy Mix – Last 5 Fights:
1. Win vs. Magomed Magomedov – Split Decision (Bellator Champions Series 2, May 17, 2024)
2. Win vs. Sergio Pettis – Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) (Bellator 301, November 17, 2023)
3. Win vs. Raufeon Stots – KO (Knee) (Bellator 295, April 22, 2023)
4. Win vs. Magomed Magomedov – Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) (Bellator 289, December 9, 2022)
5. Win vs. Kyoji Horiguchi – Unanimous Decision (Bellator 279, April 23, 2022)
Prediction:
This bantamweight bout is a clash of two highly skilled grapplers with contrasting styles. Mario Bautista’s well-rounded game, combining effective striking and opportunistic submissions, will be tested against Patchy Mix’s elite grappling and submission prowess. Bautista’s recent performances, particularly his ability to outlast tough opponents like José Aldo, show his durability and fight IQ. However, Mix’s relentless grappling and ability to chain submissions could pose a significant challenge, especially if he can take the fight to the mat early.
Bautista’s striking could give him an edge in the stand-up, but Mix’s ability to close distance and initiate grappling exchanges makes it likely the fight will hit the ground. Mix’s experience against top-tier competition in Bellator, including his dominant performances in the Grand Prix, suggests he can handle Bautista’s pressure. If Bautista can keep the fight standing and use his movement to avoid takedowns, he could outpoint Mix over three rounds. However, Mix’s submission game is likely to shine in his UFC debut, capitalizing on any grappling opportunity.
Prediction:
Mario Bautista def. Patchy Mix via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3).
