Mateusz Rebecki (19-2-0)
* Nickname: "Chinczyk"
* Age: 32 (Oct 3, 1992)
* Height: 5'7" (170.18 cm)
* Weight: 155 lbs (70.31 kg)
* Association: American Top Team
* Class: Lightweight
Record Breakdown:
* KO/TKO Wins: 9 (47%)
* Submission Wins: 7 (37%)
* Decision Wins: 3 (16%)
Last Five Fights:
1. Loss vs. Diego Ferreira (TKO) - UFC on ESPN 56 (May 11, 2024)
2. Win vs. Roosevelt Roberts (Submission, Armbar) - UFC 295 (Nov 11, 2023)
3. Win vs. Loik Radzhabov (TKO) - UFC on ABC 5 (Jun 24, 2023)
4. Win vs. Nick Fiore (Decision, Unanimous) - UFC Fight Night 217 (Jan 14, 2023)
5. Win vs. Rodrigo Lidio (Submission, Rear-Naked Choke) - Dana White's Contender Series (Aug 30, 2022)
Pathway to Victory for Rebecki: Rebecki will likely look to utilize his grappling prowess to control the fight. By closing the distance and taking the fight to the ground, he can neutralize Orolbai’s striking advantage, potentially seeking a submission or grinding out a decision.
Myktybek Orolbai (13-1-1)
* Nickname: N/A (also known as Makitbek Orobay)
* Age: 26 (Feb 10, 1998)
* Height: 5'10" (177.8 cm)
* Weight: 155 lbs (70.31 kg)
* Association: Uluu Kyrgyz Team / Team Alpha Male
* Class: Lightweight
Record Breakdown:
* KO/TKO Wins: 6 (46%)
* Submission Wins: 5 (38%)
* Decision Wins: 2 (15%)
Last Five Fights:
1. Win vs. Elves Brener (Decision, Unanimous) - UFC 301 (May 4, 2024)
2. Win vs. Uros Medic (Submission, Neck Crank) - UFC Fight Night 232 (Nov 18, 2023)
3. Win vs. Hayward Charles (KO) - LFA 170 (Oct 27, 2023)
4. Win vs. Glaucio Eliziario (TKO) - LFA 164 (Aug 4, 2023)
5. Win vs. Jalin Fuller (Decision, Unanimous) - LFA 131 (May 6, 2022)
Pathway to Victory for Orolbai: Orolbai's best chance lies in maintaining the fight on the feet, leveraging his striking power and speed. He should aim to capitalize on any openings during Rebecki's takedown attempts, countering effectively and looking for an early finish.
Prediction
This fight presents a classic striker-versus-grappler dynamic. While Rebecki holds the grappling edge and can dominate if he gets the fight to the ground, Orolbai's striking ability could pose significant challenges. If Orolbai can keep the fight standing and land effective strikes, he could secure a victory. However, Rebecki’s experience and grappling skills may prove decisive.
Prediction: Mateusz Rebecki wins via Unanimous Decision.