Marina Rodriguez vs. Iasmin Lucindo: UFC 307 Prelims Fight Preview & Prediction3 months ago
The matchup between Marina Rodriguez and Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 307 promises an exciting clash of styles in the strawweight division. Both fighters are looking to establish themselves as contenders, making this bout pivotal for their career trajectories.

Marina Rodriguez ("The Brazilian Striker")

- Age: 37
- Height: 5'7" / 170.18 cm
- Weight: 115 lbs / 52.16 kg
- Record: 17-4-2
- Association: Thai Brasil

Marina Rodriguez is renowned for her striking ability, with 41% of her victories coming by knockout. Her kickboxing background allows her to maintain distance and land powerful strikes effectively. Despite recent setbacks, including a split decision loss to Jessica Andrade at UFC 300, Rodriguez possesses an impressive fight IQ and the ability to adapt mid-fight. Her grappling defense has improved, but she must be wary of Lucindo's submission skills.

Marina Rodriguez - Last 5 Fights

- Loss vs. Jessica Andrade – UFC 300 (April 13, 2024) - Decision (Split)
- Win vs. Michelle Waterson-Gomez – UFC Fight Night 228 (Sep 23, 2023) - TKO (Elbows and Punches)
- Loss vs. Virna Jandiroba – UFC 288 (May 6, 2023) - Decision (Unanimous)
- Loss vs. Amanda Lemos – UFC Fight Night 214 (Nov 5, 2022) - TKO (Punches)
- Win vs. Xiaonan Yan – UFC 272 (Mar 5, 2022) - Decision (Split)

Iasmin Lucindo ("The Fight House Wonder")

- Age: 22
- Height: 5'4" / 162.56 cm
- Weight: 115 lbs / 52.16 kg
- Record: 16-5-0
- Association: Fight House

Iasmin Lucindo is an emerging prospect known for her aggressive striking and grappling versatility, with 50% of her wins coming via KO/TKO. At only 22, she already has significant experience in the octagon, showcasing her potential with a recent unanimous decision win over Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Lucindo’s well-rounded skill set includes submission grappling, making her a dangerous opponent for Rodriguez if the fight goes to the ground.

Iasmin Lucindo - Last 5 Fights

- Win vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz – UFC 301 (May 4, 2024) - Decision (Unanimous)
- Win vs. Polyana Viana – UFC on ESPN 51 (Aug 12, 2023) - Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
- Win vs. Brogan Walker – UFC Fight Night 222 (Apr 22, 2023) - Decision (Unanimous)
- Loss vs. Yazmin Jauregui – UFC on ESPN 41 (Aug 13, 2022) - Decision (Unanimous)
- Win vs. Taina Serena Maia dos Santos – NFC (Nov 13, 2021) - TKO

Fight Breakdown

This bout is likely to revolve around Rodriguez's striking versus Lucindo's well-rounded game. Rodriguez will aim to utilize her range and experience to keep the fight at a distance, leveraging her kickboxing skills. Conversely, Lucindo will likely press the action and try to close the distance, employing her grappling techniques if the striking exchanges aren’t favorable.

Rodriguez must be cautious of Lucindo's submission skills and aggressive fighting style, while Lucindo will need to handle Rodriguez's powerful striking and maintain a high pace throughout the fight.

Prediction

While Rodriguez has the experience and striking prowess to keep the fight standing, Lucindo's youth and aggressive style could tip the scales in her favor. If Lucindo can avoid getting caught in Rodriguez's striking, she has a strong chance to either finish the fight or earn a decision victory.

Prediction: Iasmin Lucindo by decision.