Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues: UFC 304 Main Card Preview & Prediction3 months ago
Who will win the must-watch middleweight bout in the UFC 304 main card?

Christian Leroy Duncan

Christian Leroy Duncan, with a professional record of 10-1-0, is a 29-year-old middleweight fighter standing at 6’2" and boasting an impressive reach of 79". Duncan’s recent fights showcase his dynamic striking and finishing ability. He secured a TKO victory over Claudio Ribeiro in the second round on March 2, 2024, and another TKO win against Denis Tiuliulin in the second round on November 18, 2023. However, he experienced a unanimous decision loss to Armen Petrosyan on June 17, 2023, but bounced back with a first-round TKO victory over Dusko Todorovic on March 18, 2023. Duncan is known for his versatile striking techniques, particularly effective in the clinch with elbows and knees. Despite his aggressive style, which can sometimes leave him open to counterattacks, his record reflects a strong ability to finish fights.

Gregory Rodrigues

Gregory Rodrigues, with a professional record of 15-6-0, is a 31-year-old middleweight fighter standing at 6’3" with a reach of 75". Rodrigues has a history of facing high-caliber opponents, which is evident in his recent fights. He achieved a TKO victory over Brad Tavares in the third round on February 10, 2024, and a first-round KO win against Denis Tiuliulin on August 19, 2023. However, he also faced a first-round KO loss to Brunno Ferreira on January 21, 2023. Rodrigues has notable wins against Chidi Njokuani (TKO in the second round on September 17, 2022) and Julian Marquez (KO in the first round on June 18, 2022). Known for his heavy hands and knockout power, Rodrigues also has a strong grappling and ground control game. Despite his susceptibility to fast, dynamic strikers and occasional defensive lapses, his experience against top-tier opponents makes him a formidable challenger.

Prediction

The matchup between Christian Leroy Duncan and Gregory Rodrigues is a compelling clash of styles. Duncan’s dynamic striking and speed will pose significant challenges for Rodrigues, while Rodrigues’ knockout power and grappling skills provide a distinct advantage. Duncan’s aggressive approach could create opportunities for Rodrigues to exploit with his heavy hands. Rodrigues’ experience against tougher competition may also play a crucial role in handling high-pressure situations.

Given these factors, the prediction is that Gregory Rodrigues will secure a TKO victory in the second round. If Rodrigues can withstand Duncan’s early aggression and bring the fight into his preferred range—whether in close quarters or on the ground—he has a strong chance of achieving a knockout win.