Matthew Semelsberger (11-7-0) enters this fight with a solid resume and a striking-heavy approach. He is coming off a decision loss to Preston Parsons at UFC Fight Night 234 but has shown resilience in the octagon. Semelsberger has a 55% knockout rate, with notable wins over Jake Matthews and Martin Sano, both by KO. However, his recent losses to high-level competition like Uros Medic and Jeremiah Wells highlight areas where his defense needs to improve. If Semelsberger can impose his power early, he could secure a victory, but his consistency in avoiding damage will be key.
Matthew Semelsberger - Last Five Fights
* Loss vs. Preston Parsons at UFC Fight Night 234 – Decision (Unanimous)
* Loss vs. Uros Medic at UFC 291 – TKO (Spinning Backfist and Punches)
* Loss vs. Jeremiah Wells at UFC Fight Night 222 – Decision (Split)
* Win vs. Jake Matthews at UFC Fight Night 216 – Decision (Unanimous)
* Loss vs. Alex Morono at UFC 277 – Decision (Unanimous)
Charlie Radtke (9-4-0) brings a solid mix of power and grappling, with four knockout wins and two submissions. After a recent knockout loss to Carlos Prates at UFC on ESPN 57, Radtke bounced back with a TKO win over Gilbert Urbina at UFC Fight Night 235. His diverse skill set will be tested against Semelsberger’s striking prowess, and he will need to utilize his reach and grappling to control the fight. Radtke's experience in various promotions gives him an edge in handling high-pressure situations.
Charlie Radtke - Last Five Fights
* Win vs. Gilbert Urbina at UFC Fight Night 235 – TKO (Punches)
* Win vs. Mike Mathetha at UFC 293 – Decision (Unanimous)
* Win vs. Raheam Forest at CFFC 118 – Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
* Win vs. Caleb Crump at CFFC 110 – KO (Punch)
* Loss vs. Carlos Prates at UFC on ESPN 57 – KO (Knee to the Body)
Prediction: This fight is a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. Semelsberger’s knockout power could prove too much for Radtke if the fight stays on the feet. However, Radtke’s grappling and ability to mix in striking could offset Semelsberger’s aggression. If Radtke can close the distance and avoid getting hit cleanly, he may secure a decision or finish via submission.
Prediction: Matthew Semelsberger wins by KO in Round 2.