Ilia Topuria (15-0-0)
Nickname: «El Matador»
Age: 27
Height: 5’8"
Weight: 145 lbs
Style: A well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling background and knockout power. Known for his relentless pressure and finishing ability.
Association: Climent Club
Record Breakdown:
- KO/TKO Wins: 5 (33%)
- Submission Wins: 8 (53%)
- Decision Wins: 2 (13%)
- Losses: 0
Last Five Fights:
- Win vs. Alexander Volkanovski (KO, UFC 298, Feb 17, 2024)
- Win vs. Josh Emmett (Decision, UFC on ABC 5, Jun 24, 2023)
- Win vs. Bryce Mitchell (Submission, UFC 282, Dec 10, 2022)
- Win vs. Jai Herbert (KO, UFC Fight Night 204, Mar 19, 2022)
- Win vs. Ryan Hall (KO, UFC 264, Jul 10, 2021)
Pathway to Victory for Topuria: Topuria’s strategy will likely focus on utilizing his grappling prowess to neutralize Holloway’s striking advantage. He should look to take the fight to the ground early, where he can leverage his submission skills. Maintaining pressure and finding opportunities to land powerful strikes will also be crucial, as Holloway’s striking volume could be a significant threat.
Max Holloway (26-7-0)
Nickname: «Blessed»
Age: 32
Height: 5’11"
Weight: 155 lbs (likely to be adjusted to 145 lbs for this fight)
Style: Renowned for his high-volume striking and exceptional cardio. Holloway is a master of distance management and can adapt his game plan mid-fight.
Association: Gracie Technics / Legacy Muay Thai
Record Breakdown:
- KO/TKO Wins: 12 (46%)
- Submission Wins: 2 (8%)
- Decision Wins: 12 (46%)
- Losses: 7
Last Five Fights:
- Win vs. Justin Gaethje (KO, UFC 300, Apr 13, 2024)
- Win vs. Chan Sung Jung (KO, UFC Fight Night 225, Aug 26, 2023)
- Win vs. Arnold Allen (Decision, UFC on ESPN 44, Apr 15, 2023)
- Loss vs. Alexander Volkanovski (Decision, UFC 276, Jul 02, 2022)
- Win vs. Yair Rodriguez (Decision, UFC Fight Night 197, Nov 13, 2021)
Pathway to Victory for Holloway: Holloway’s best chance lies in utilizing his striking volume and experience. He needs to keep the fight standing and implement his trademark boxing, combining jabs with powerful hooks while avoiding takedown attempts. Holloway can also capitalize on his cardio to outlast Topuria in the later rounds, potentially winning a decision.
Prediction
This fight is set to be a thrilling encounter between a rising star and a seasoned champion. While Topuria’s grappling could prove challenging for Holloway, the former champion’s striking volume and experience may ultimately tip the scales in his favor.
Prediction: Max Holloway wins by decision, utilizing his striking prowess and cardio to outlast Topuria in a closely contested bout.